There are actual Vegas odds on this. YES: -$2,500 NO: +$800 For those unfamiliar with betting odds, this means that if you do believe he’s going to prison, you would have to risk $2,500 just to win $100 if he does. If you think he’s NOT going to prison, you could lay $100 and would win $800, 8x your money, if he does not. In other words, Vegas is almost certain he’s going to prison. And they are not in the business of losing money.