At least 7 different accounts on Polymarket have made over $1.5m on bets that the US would strike Iran this weekend. 5 of these accounts are new and have made no other bets; one more has only also bet on the strikes. One has bet mostly on US and Israeli strikes against Iran over the past year. All of these accounts are anonymous. A crypto analytics platform says 6 are “suspected insiders”; their bets were timed specifically for this weekend. Polymarket received investment last summer from a venture firm backed by Donald Trump Jr., who sits on its board.